The general elections of Netherlands, scheduled to be held on the 15th of March, 2017, may seem unimportant, yet the Dutch hold the key to unleashing greater hatred and intolerance in the so called ‘civilized’ western world. Liberalism is to the Dutch what oil is for the US. Netherlands is literally the embodiment of liberal democracy with the country having legalized prostitution, abortion and euthanasia. They have a free drug culture and were the first nation to legalize same-sex marriage.
Yet, for a country marked by so many liberal firsts, it comes as a surprise that one of the favorites for the elections is a hardcore right winger, Geert Wilders of the Party for Freedom (PVV) who holds the distinction for comparing mosques to Nazi temples and the Quran to Mein Kampf.
The Dutch elections aren’t that complex. It involves elections to the House of Representatives comprising of 150 seats. The Dutch have decided to count the votes by hand after alleged hacking attempts by Russian groups. There are a striking 82 parties vying for these 150 seats making an outright majority for one particular party improbable, if not impossible. The Dutch hold the unenviable distinction of no cabinet having finished their term since 2002.
The belief that Wilders might get elected is indicative of a populist turn in the European politics that began with Brexit. It seems that the Europeans are tired of their capitalist, immigrant friendly societies. A potential Wilders prime minister, howsoever unlikely it may seem (even a Trump presidency was unlikely), could be the next step in the wars against globalization that have swept the West.
This resentment against immigrants is nothing new. Such resentment might actually be able to trace its roots to the Native Americans who must’ve been pissed off by the arrival of Columbus. However, after the acceptance of Donald Trump, it most likely isn’t politically incorrect to keep out immigrants. While the United States is a country of immigrants, the Netherlands has a significant native population which may feel that it is well off without immigrants. It is this ideology that is gaining acceptance around the Western world leading to greater popularity of right wing leaders like Geert Wilders. To be honest, Geert Wilders does have several characteristics that remind you of Trump. While he may not have talked about building a border wall, he does have a pathetic hair-do that is the only identifier that he needs. Wilders has proposed leaving the EU and the euro if he’s elected, leading to further fragmentation and break-up of the European Union that is already unstable owing to several nations vying for an exit.
If the opinion polls are anything to go by, it is the PVV that is poised to emerge as the single largest party. However, due to its unnerving anti-Muslim propaganda, it may not be able to stitch together a steady coalition. Riding under his own version of “Make America Great Again” i.e. “The Netherlands is ours again” Mr. Wilders has been rubbing the other parties the wrong way. Several parties have now outright rejected a coalition with Wilders’ PVV. If history is anything to go by, the PVV buzz always fizzles out on the Election Day. Yet, Mr. Wilders is not perturbed and has been vocal in his agenda to ‘de-Islamize Netherlands. What may calm the Dutch though is the fact that most polls conducted in December predicted the PVV to win around 37 seats. However, their current tally as per the polls seems to have leveled around 29-33 seats.
The current coalition of the conservative People’s Party for Freedom and Democracy (VVD) and the Labor Party (PvdA) under the Prime Minister of VVD’s Mark Rutte seems unlikely to take on an emboldened PVV. In the improbable scenario that they do manage to chalk up a coalition, keeping the single largest party (most likely the PVV) out of the coalition might be seen as going against the will of the people. It is PvdA, i.e. the Labor Party that is poised to emerge as the biggest loser as it will cede territory to the PVV and other pro-European parties.
If Wilders does end up winning the majority vote, an alternate coalition (one excluding the PVV) will be a complex one having no less than 5 parties, as suggested by Rem Korteweg, senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform (CER). Yet, not all is well, as the far left Socialist Party, which is apparently the third largest party in Parliament, has ruled out working with VVD due irresolvable differences. The increasing threat of Islamic terrorism posed by migrants is resonating with the voters of Netherlands who are already in acquiescence with Wilders’ propaganda.
For now though, it falls on the undecided voters to realize whether they are ready to fall in line with an anti-Muslim venom spewing candidate or maintain the status quo, which an increasing number of voters find unsavory.
-First seen on The Economic Transcript